Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 0.021160 0.022723 0.024350 0.026172 0.028157 0.030256 0.032648
2024-10-27 0.018718 0.020993 0.023486 0.026427 0.029812 0.033600 0.038175
2024-11-03 0.016941 0.019626 0.022680 0.026431 0.030938 0.036205 0.042873
2024-11-10 0.015797 0.018787 0.022299 0.026756 0.032304 0.039035 0.047904
2024-11-17 0.014584 0.017723 0.021506 0.026440 0.032769 0.040695 0.051503
2024-11-24 0.013667 0.016928 0.020948 0.026322 0.033402 0.042527 0.055367
2024-12-01 0.012781 0.016096 0.020265 0.025961 0.033646 0.043808 0.058523
2024-12-08 0.012178 0.015578 0.019936 0.026013 0.034402 0.045774 0.062704
2024-12-15 0.011492 0.014904 0.019350 0.025666 0.034565 0.046899 0.065729
2024-12-22 0.010818 0.014206 0.018687 0.025159 0.034449 0.047594 0.068135
2024-12-29 0.010305 0.013695 0.018245 0.024924 0.034687 0.048782 0.071322
2025-01-05 0.009830 0.013210 0.017810 0.024664 0.034858 0.049859 0.074384
2025-01-12 0.009287 0.012610 0.017189 0.024108 0.034566 0.050235 0.076390
2025-01-19 0.009029 0.012399 0.017109 0.024338 0.035461 0.052464 0.081523
2025-01-26 0.008723 0.012104 0.016890 0.024342 0.036001 0.054160 0.085888
2025-02-02 0.008522 0.011951 0.016867 0.024636 0.037000 0.056633 0.091730
2025-02-09 0.008175 0.011566 0.016483 0.024350 0.037052 0.057561 0.094955
2025-02-16 0.007899 0.011275 0.016224 0.024243 0.037381 0.058952 0.099083
2025-02-23 0.007584 0.010912 0.015840 0.023915 0.037324 0.059679 0.102048
2025-03-02 0.007381 0.010712 0.015696 0.023962 0.037887 0.061493 0.107142
2025-03-09 0.007103 0.010385 0.015340 0.023647 0.037817 0.062189 0.110165
2025-03-16 0.006807 0.010019 0.014909 0.023187 0.037470 0.062369 0.112192
2025-03-23 0.006583 0.009758 0.014634 0.022973 0.037537 0.063290 0.115733